Saturday, June 11, 2011

Arrogance of Man

Global warming and now the relabelled Global Climate Change is an amazing concept. In the best of cases computer models and historical data are used to provide a trend forward that the world will be irreversibly altered in the years ahead. There is no doubt that the world will be forever changed by the presence of man. But these people use linear thinking in a non-linear world. Yes models and historical data can be used to help predict the future. However, like any investment product will warn you, the past performance does not ensure future success. The same is true for Climate change. Just because we have been on a recent path does not mean it will continue, and it does not mean that we have not been down this path many many years ago. What makes the latest rhetoric about global warming more questionable is the non-linear nature of our world. For example, the recent volcano eruptions, the earthquakes, tornadoes, and forest fires are unplanned events that change the course of environment moving forward. It is these non-linear events that will determine where we go, and where our climate ultimate. Man is arrogant to believe that mother nature (and our Lord) do not have a part to play in this world. The arrogance of man believes that they are the center of the universe and can predict the future. The Milena has shown that Man is just one part of a major cog of this great universe that we have been blessed to be a part.

Saturday, June 4, 2011

American Economy Gambit

It is amazing how Republicans cannot convince Americans and the Media that the latest round of Government spending is bad. Instead, the Media rolls out stupid economist who say that the Government needs to hire (thus spend more) to create jobs. Though this is true, the Media and their stupid economists, fail to explain that when the Government does this it is like people living off their credit cards.

Many regular folks who have been laid off or have been working low paying jobs use credit cards to help them get buy. This is a necessity for many. But for a lot of people during the real estate bust this is what got them into trouble. Now, the Government is repeating this mistake.

What the Republicans fail to explain is that all the Government spending is like people living off their credit cards. In the Government's case they are actually gambling that the economy will recover prior to the need to pay the debt. Unfortunately no one is calling our the Government on their gambit. And no one has explained this to the American people. It is now June, the latest GDP numbers are being revised down, the May unemployment numbers were dismal, and the housing market is still stagnet. The Gambit is looking like a loser.

Just a guy calling a gambit a gambit.